10 April 2025 Indian Express Editorial
What to Read in Indian Express Editorial( Topic and Syllabus wise)
Editorial 1 : A Shift in Stance
Context: Lowering of Repo Rate by RBI
Introduction: RBI lowered the GDP growth forecast to 6.5% for FY26 from 6.7% earlier. Analysts’ estimate that further moderation to ~6.2% due to direct and indirect impacts of global trade tensions.
Factors Impacting Growth
- Direct Impact of Trade War: The trade war is estimated to reduce GDP by 0.2–0.3% due to tariff-related disruptions.
- Indirect Impact
- Slowdown in global growth and capital flows to emerging markets.
- Tepid private sector investment due to investor caution.
- Supportive Domestic Factors
- Normal monsoon and robust agricultural production boost the rural demand.
- Lower income tax burden and moderated food inflation supporting consumption.
Inflation Trends
- Current Inflation Dynamics
- CPI Inflation: Fell to 3.6% (Feb 2025) and is projected to stay below 4% in the near term.
- Key Drivers
- Sharp decline in food inflation (from 8.5% in Oct-Dec 2024 to 3.8% in Feb 2025).
- Subdued core inflation (averaged 3.5% over the past year).
- RBI’s Inflation Outlook
- Revised FY26 CPI inflation projection to 4% from 4.2%.
- Risks: Weather-related shocks to food prices.
Monetary Policy Response
- Recent RBI Actions
- Rate Cut: 25 bps reduction in policy rate.
- Stance Shift: From neutral to accommodative, signalling further rate cuts.
- Future Expectations
- Additional Rate Cuts: 50 bps likely in FY26, potentially deeper if trade war worsens.
- Transmission Focus: Ensuring banks pass rate cuts to borrowers amid improved liquidity.
External Factors and Risks
- Global Trade War Impact
- US Tariff Comparison
- India: 26%
- China: 104% (including retaliatory tariffs)
- Vietnam: 46%
- Thailand: 36%
- Opportunity for India: Potential to increase US export market share if production shifts from higher-tariff countries.
- US Tariff Comparison
- Currency Dynamics
- Recent Volatility
- Rupee weakened by 4.4% (Oct 2024–Feb 2025), then partially recovered.
- Chinese yuan depreciated 4.6% in the last 6 months.
- Forecast: Rupee is expected to trade at 88–89/USD by FY26-end.
- RBI Intervention is supported by $676 billion forex reserves which provides 11 months of import cover.
- Recent Volatility
Global Central Bank Coordination
- US Federal Reserve: Potential rate cuts in 2025 if growth falters (easing pressure on RBI).
- Other Central Banks: ECB and BoE also expected to cut rates, aiding global liquidity.
Risks and Challenges
- Global Uncertainty: Muted capital inflows and currency pressures.
- Export Competitiveness: Need to capitalize on tariff differentials vs. peers.
- Domestic Investment: Sustaining private sector confidence amid global disruptions.
Conclusion: RBI’s accommodative stance aims to counterbalance external headwinds. RBI is managing inflation risks while supporting growth and stabilizing the rupee.
Editorial 2 : Raj Bhavan’s Boundaries
Context: Supreme Court’s judgment on Tamil Nadu governor.
Office of the Governor
- Origin
- The office of the governor was retained post-independence to preserve national unity, stability, and security.
- Inspired by colonial-era structures but intended to act as a neutral constitutional figure.
- Founders’ Intent
- Jawaharlal Nehru: Advocated appointing eminent, apolitical individuals (e.g. academics) as governors.
- B.N. Rau (Constitutional Advisor): Proposed election by provincial legislatures via secret ballot.
- Sardar Patel: Suggested direct election by state citizens with impeachment provisions for misconduct.
- B.R. Ambedkar: Settled for nomination, arguing governors are nominal heads. Elections would be costly and redundant.
Current Challenges and Partisanship
- Overreach by Governors
- Instances: Delaying/denying assent to bills, interfering in appointments (e.g. vice-chancellors), editing customary addresses, and undermining legislative councils.
- Impact: Strained relations with opposition-led state governments (e.g. Tamil Nadu and Punjab cases).
- Partisan Behaviour
- Governors often act as agents of the central ruling party rather than impartial constitutional authorities.
- Security of tenure is lacking, making governors susceptible to political pressures.
Judicial Interventions: Key Supreme Court Rulings
- April 2025 Judgment (Justices Pardiwala & Mahadevan)
- Stripped governors of absolute discretion under Article 200 to withhold assent to bills.
- Imposed strict timelines for assent, reconsideration, or reserving bills for presidential review.
- Declared Tamil Nadu Governor’s actions (withholding 10 bills) as arbitrary and unconstitutional.
- Raghukul Tilek Case (1979): Affirmed that governors hold a high constitutional office, not subordinate to the Centre.
- Invocation of Article 142: Enabled the Court to enforce timelines, ensuring federal balance.
Constitutional and Structural Flaws
- Ambiguity in Discretion
- Discretionary powers (e.g. assent to bills) often misused for political ends.
- Five Principles of Discretion
- Must be reasonable and cautious.
- Cannot be exercised under external dictation.
- Requires application of mind to facts.
- Must avoid improper motives or irrelevant considerations.
- Cannot be arbitrary or whimsical.
- Lack of Accountability
- No security of tenure or impeachment mechanism, unlike judges.
- Governors serve at the pleasure of the President, making them vulnerable to central influence.
Way Forward: Recommendations
- Security of Tenure: Provide fixed terms and removal safeguards, similar to judges, to ensure independence.
- Consultative Appointments: Implement Sarkaria Commission (1983) recommendations.
- Consult state CMs, Vice-President, and Lok Sabha Speaker during appointments.
- Give state CMs veto power over governor appointments.
- Codify Discretionary Powers: Legislate clear guidelines for assent to bills, aligning with Supreme Court timelines.
- Revive the Federal Intent
- Ensure governors act as neutral advisors, not political operatives.
- Strengthen state autonomy over 66 subjects in the Seventh Schedule.
Conclusion: The office of the governor was envisioned as a stabilizing force, but has devolved into a tool for central interference. Judicial interventions have curtailed abuses, but structural reforms are critical to restore the federal balance.
